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What is Uniti Group Inc. (UNIT) worth?

Currently $11.13 — below the base case ($13.70) · ● live

Fair-value range vs. market price · Platform / optionality
Market $11.13
Bear · 30%$4.00
Base · 45%$13.70
Bull · 25%$28.00
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Priced below base case
Base case
$13.70
Scenario range
$4.00–$28.00
Current price
$11.13
Platform / optionality low confidence in the point estimate — for this profile, read the range & what the price implies, not the single number
● live · as of 2026-07-23 00:22 · Market cap $2.7B
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As of 2026-07-22, Uniti Group Inc. (UNIT) looks undervalued. Dolphy estimates a fair value of $13.00 versus a current price of $11.13 — a 14% discount to fair value.

Executive summary

Uniti Group is a different company than its ticker history suggests. The August 1, 2025 all-stock merger with Windstream converted Uniti from a passive, dividend-paying fiber REIT into a fully-integrated, capital-intensive fiber/broadband operator — and stripped its REIT status and common dividend along the way. Reported FY2025 numbers are close to useless without normalization: $2,234.5M revenue and $1,304.7M net income (a 2.5x trailing P/E) reflect only five months of consolidated Windstream plus a ~$1.5B non-cash reverse-merger accounting gain. Strip that out and Uniti is a business running at roughly a $3.9–4.0B revenue and ~$1.75B EBITDA annual run-rate (Q1'26 annualized), carrying ~$11.1B of debt.

The investable reality is a levered equity stub. With ~$10.1B net debt (plus $575M of 11% preferred) sitting ahead of a $2.7B equity cap, the common is a thin residual — every half-turn of EV/EBITDA is worth ~$3.6/share. At $11.12 the market pays ~7.6x forward EBITDA, a slight discount to the ~8x fiber/ILEC peer median.

Verdict: roughly fairly valued, skewed to the upside if deleveraging works. My probability-weighted fair value is ~$13, a modest premium to the current price, but the honest read is a wide $4–$28 distribution. This is a bet on combined EBITDA holding/growing (fiber gains outrunning copper decline) and the balance sheet delevering — not a stock to size as a high-conviction single-point valuation.

How we value it

EV/EBITDA comps + probability-weighted scenarios (levered equity stub)

Every figure is computed from SEC filings by the analyst’s calculator tools and fact-checked by a second, independent model.

Investment thesis

The bull-vs-bear debate on Uniti reduces to two variables: (1) can combined EBITDA grow — i.e., can fiber/broadband growth in Kinetic and Fiber Infrastructure outrun the secular erosion of legacy Windstream copper/ILEC voice and DSL — and (2) can the company delever from ~4–5x so the market awards a fuller infrastructure multiple.…

About Uniti Group Inc.

Uniti Group Inc. is a premier insurgent fiber provider dedicated to enabling mission-critical connectivity across the United States. The firm build, operate, and deliver fast and reliable communications services, empowering more than a million consumers and businesses in the digital economy. The firm broad portfolio of services is offered through a suite of brands: Uniti Wholesale, Kinetic, Uniti Fiber, and Uniti Solutions. Uniti Group Inc. was incorporated 2015 and is based in Little Rock, Arkansas.

Frequently asked questions

Is UNIT a buy?

As of 2026-07-22, Uniti Group Inc. (UNIT) looks undervalued. Dolphy estimates a fair value of $13.00 versus a current price of $11.13 — a 14% discount to fair value.

What is UNIT's fair value?

Dolphy's estimated fair value for Uniti Group Inc. (UNIT) is $13.00, versus a current market price of $11.13.

Is UNIT overvalued or undervalued?

Uniti Group Inc. (UNIT) currently looks undervalued — trading at a 14% discount to Dolphy's estimated fair value of $13.00.

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AI-generated research by Dolphy for educational and informational purposes only — not investment advice. Figures are computed from public sources and may contain errors.